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СпутникиРНSpaceXРоскосмосNASABy the time this column appears, the world will feel very different from when my previous column appeared earlier this month. In just days, a conflict that some in Washington seemed to believe would quickly topple Iran’s leadership has instead become a potentially long and uncertain war, with little clarity on how or when it will end.
The front lines will have shifted, more oil tankers will have been stuck at sea and more flights cancelled, and there will almost certainly have been further...
By the time this column appears, the world will feel very different from when my
previous column appeared earlier this month. In just days, a conflict that some in Washington seemed to believe would quickly topple Iran’s leadership has instead become a potentially long and uncertain war, with little clarity on how or when it will end.
The front lines will have shifted, more oil tankers will have been stuck at sea and more flights cancelled, and there will almost certainly have been further civilian deaths in what is, at its core, a war of choice. Events are moving faster than governments – or markets – seem able to absorb.
We last felt this kind of shock in 2020, during the Covid-19 pandemic. Hong Kong, like many places, discovered how quickly an unseen threat could upend trade, travel and daily life. This time, however, the shock is man-made, radiating from the Gulf and Levant through the energy markets, shipping lanes and air routes. Where the pandemic closed borders for public health, this conflict is closing them for military and geopolitical reasons.
Nowhere is this clearer than in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran’s new supreme leader has vowed to keep the strait closed to force other countries to intervene diplomatically and restrain Washington and Israel, while urging neighbouring states to shut US bases on their soil. However
, Iran has reportedly allowed a limited number of ships from countries not directly involved in the conflict to transit the waterway following negotiations.
Roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil passes through this narrow channel, so any major disruption affects the global economy. Shipping costs are climbing, and some vessels are detouring or waiting it out. With inflation still a concern, rising fuel and insurance costs are adding to price pressures.
The focus, however, is no longer solely on the Strait of Hormuz. To force countries to lean on Washington and Israel to de-escalate, Iran has signalled that the Bab el‑Mandeb, another critical oil and trade artery, could also be drawn into the conflict.
Oil tankers set ablaze by Iranian drones as shipping vessels targeted in Middle East war
| # | Наименование новости | Тональность | Информативность | Дата публикации |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran survived the first round, the next may be worse imo | -2 | 5 | 04-07-2026 |
| 2 | US military says it completed latest strikes on Iran, marking 6th consecutive night of attacks | 0 | 7 | 17-07-2026 |
| 3 | Cost of Iran war grows, as Trump throws its end into question | -2 | 7 | 11-07-2026 |
| 4 | Cost of Iran war grows, as Trump throws its end into question | -2 | 6 | 12-07-2026 |
| 5 | U.S. attacks Iran and Tehran retaliates across the Middle East, threatening all-out war | -10 | 10 | 14-07-2026 |
| 6 | The U.S. launches new airstrikes on Iran and Tehran fires back at Gulf Arab states | -5 | 7 | 09-07-2026 |
| 7 | Tell us: how are you adjusting your household finances as the Iran war pushes up costs? | 0 | 7 | 28-04-2026 |
| 8 | Iran threatens wider war if US strikes persist: ‘No political border’ will be safe | -7 | 7 | 18-07-2026 |
| 9 | Iran-Krieg: USA erhöhen mit neuen Angriffen und Drohungen Druck auf Iran | -3 | 6 | 16-07-2026 |