CNBC Daily Open: Is India the first to face Trump's ‘secondary' tariff on Russia?
Дата публикации: 31-07-2025 02:30:01
A divided Federal Reserve holds interest rates. Trump announces tariffs on India and a deal with South Korea. Meta Platforms and Microsoft beat earnings expectations. U.S. stocks are weighed by the Fed decision. Investors are aggressively borrowing money to buy stocks.
In the frenzied run-up to Friday, Aug. 1 — the day when U.S. President Donald Trump’s new tariffs come into effect (no more delays!) — America’s major trading partners such as Japan, the European Union and now, South Korea, have come to an agreement with the country. All of them will be subject to 15% tariffs on U.S. imports of their goods.
But India? Not only has there not been a deal yet, Trump unilaterally imposed a 25% tariff on the South Asian country — a higher-than-expected number, as analysts had widely expected India to secure a favorable deal with America. Worse, the tariff will exist alongside an additional “penalty,” which Trump said is the price India has to pay for its military and energy transactions with Russia. That essentially sounds like the “secondary tariff” Trump had previously threatened to slap on Moscow.
In doing so, Trump’s actions seem to be suggesting that the White House’s trade policies is not based simply on the balance of trade, as Trump is fond of bringing up, or even how much he likes you — see his admiration of the U.K.’s King Charles and the country’s 10% tariff rate.
It’s also about who your friends are. Essentially, Trump appears to be implying that, even if you are an up-and-coming influential figure, if you hang out with the uncool kids (who buy Russian arms), you can’t sit with us.
Perhaps Trump can afford to alienate allies because the U.S. economy is still unexpectedly strong. It expanded 3% in the second quarter, much higher than the 2.3% Dow Jones estimate, and Magnificent Seven earnings are handily topping estimates. Much has been discussed about the decline of American exceptionalism, but, for now, the U.S. is still the queen bee.
What you need to know today
The Federal Reserve holds interest rates. The Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-2 on the decision — the first time since late 1993 that multiple governors cast “no” votes. Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed still needs to see the effects of tariffs on inflation.
India to see 25% tariffs on exports to the U.S. On top of that, Trump said Wednesday that the South Asian country will also face a “penalty” for dealing with Russia. Separately, South Korea has reached a deal with the U.S. that will see it subject to a 15% tariff rate, Trump announced.
Meta Platforms and Microsoft beat earnings expectations. Year on year, Meta’s revenue grew 22%, while that of Microsoft increased 18%. During extended trading, Microsoft shares jumped more than 8% to put the company’s market cap above $4 trillion.
U.S. stocks are weighed by Fed conference. The S&P 500 fell Wednesday. Asia-Pacific markets mostly declined Thursday. Shares of Samsung Electronics retreated after the firm reported a 93.8% year-over-year plunge in profit. Chinese markets fell on disappointing data on the country’s manufacturing activity in July.
[PRO] Investors are aggressively borrowing money to buy stocks. It’s a sign of market exuberance, according to Jim Reid, head of macro and thematic research at Deutsche Bank, who added that this pace was last seen during market bubbles.
And finally…
Chip Somodevilla | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesU.S. President Donald Trump calls on a reporter during a meeting with Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. in the Oval Office at the White House on July 22, 2025, in Washington, D.C.
Trump’s tariff deadline is near. Here’s a look at countries that have a deal — and those that don’t
Come Friday, the world will have to contend with higher tariff rates from the Trump administration, raising the specter of even more economic uncertainty.
For most countries, that can of worms has been kicked twice down the road, from “Liberation Day” on April 2, to July 9, and now to Aug. 1.
Here are where things stand in global trade.
— Lim Hui Jie and Sophie Kiderlin
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