Miami Dolphins quarterback Malik Willis looks on during an NFL football game against the Kansas City Chiefs. AP Photo/Lynne Sladky

Post sports gambling editor/producer and digital sports editor Matt Ehalt is back for his third season in the NFL Bettor’s Guide. 

MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-10.5) over Miami Dolphins

Get ready to hear these words come April 29: “With the first pick in the 2027 NFL Draft, the Miami Dolphins select…”

The Dolphins are a miserable excuse for a football team, and things are not going to get any easier now that do-it-all running back De’Von Achane is lost for the season with an ACL tear.

Miami will be the team you pick against each week in your Survivor Pool and for good reason.

This team lacks talent on both sides, and Miami’s front office is clearly looking ahead to the 2027 season.

Now, we normally don’t like laying double-digit points since the NFL can be so wonky. We’ve seen some crazy upsets this year.

We’re willing to do this week, though, since Miami has lost each game this year by at least 14 points and now faces a blitz-heavy Minnesota team that is firing on all cylinders defensively.

Brian Flores is going to blitz, blitz, blitz Malik Willis all game long, and Miami does not have the receivers that can exploit Minnesota’s secondary.

Minnesota Vikings’ Blake Cashman (51) tackles Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Baker Mayfield (6) during the first half of a game at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla., Sunday, Sept. 27, 2026. Getty Images

Without Achane as the lead back and a dump-off option, there will be even fewer ways for the Dolphins to move the ball.

Minnesota does give some reason for concern with Kyle Murray looking terrible last week against a Tampa Bay defense, but Miami has allowed an average of 28.67 points per game, the fifth-worst mark in the sport.

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Miami also is the only team in the sport without a sack, so at least the Giants’ pricey defensive line can know there is another unit (somehow) playing worse than them.

All the elements are there for a Minnesota blowout win that keeps them undefeated and extends Miami’s misery.

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2026 record: 1-2
Last week: Texans (L)

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Matt Ehalt has been picking against the spread since his childhood days when he entered his father’s newspaper pool and even took the top prize on more than one occasion. He specializes in NFL wagers and is quite successful with NCAA brackets.