As Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine starts to take a financial toll on Kazakhstan, Tokayev puts forward a rare call for negotiations.
Meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in the Russian city of Omsk last weekend for a bilateral cooperation forum, Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev decided to share his thoughts on the ongoing war in Ukraine. Offering what he himself described as his “humble opinion,” Tokayev suggested freezing the frontlines at their current positions while simultaneously restarting peace negotiations.
“Then, naturally, with security guarantees from the major powers, including Russia, it would be possible to move toward the long-awaited peace,” the Kazakh president said while presenting his opening remarks alongside Putin and the media.
Tokayev’s words made international headlines, coming from one of the few world leaders who has maintained close trading ties with Russia since 2022. For the same reason, Kazakhstan has also remained largely silent about the war, as have the other Central Asian states with close relations to Russia.
Tokayev’s call comes as Ukraine has stepped up attacks on Russian oil and gas facilities, among them the marine terminal in Novorossiysk, through which 80 percent of Kazakhstan’s oil exports pass via the CPC pipeline. As these attacks have increasingly affected Kazakhstan’s economy, Astana now appears to have taken a more assertive diplomatic approach in an effort to restore normal export operations.
A Humble Proposal Lacking Mediation
Besides calling for new negotiations, Tokayev also proposed returning “to the ‘Istanbul Formula 2.0,’ given the significant progress that was achieved there,” referring to the rounds of negotiations that took in Turkiye in 2022 and 2025. Those talks ultimately failed.
Tokayev’s proposal did not go unanswered by either Ukraine or Russia. Putin promptly assured the Kazakh president that he would provide him with a briefing “regarding the Ukrainian issue.”
The Kremlin’s position on the matter was elaborated later that day by presidential spokesman Dmitry Peskov, who blamed Kyiv for the lack of peace before adding: “A freeze as such is impossible… For us, there is a key condition: we must achieve our goals.”
A markedly more positive response came from Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha, who wrote that he appreciated Tokayev’s proposal to Putin, calling it “a realistic, timely, and wise message.”
The exchange contrasted sharply with the way Kazakhstan and Ukraine have previously communicated regarding the war’s impact on the Kazakh economy.
As recently as November last year, after Ukrainian attacks in Novorossiysk put a mooring unit used for loading oil out of operation, Kazakhstan criticized the action, stating that the facility was “safeguarded by norms of international law.” Furthermore, the Kazakh Ministry of Foreign Affairs expressed its expectation that Kyiv would refrain from such attacks in the future.
The criticism was, however, quickly rejected by Ukraine’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, which stated that “all of Ukraine’s efforts are focused on repelling full-scale Russian aggression.” Kyiv also reminded Kazakhstan that the country had not publicly condemned Russian strikes on Ukrainian civilians or energy infrastructure.
In the half-year that has passed since this diplomatic exchange, Ukraine has demonstrated that attacks on Russian energy infrastructure, including the CPC pipeline and its terminals, would continue, with ships connected to the CPC being hit just days before Tokayev’s call for peace. In response to these attacks, Kazakhstan once again condemned the strikes by Ukraine.
Just two days before Tokayev’s trip to Omsk, the attacks had reached a point where oil loading was forced to be suspended. When exports through the pipeline resumed on July 27, output had fallen by more than half, from 2.16 million barrels per day to 1 million.
While Tokayev’s speech may appear to mark a new approach, it remains a very modest one. At no point did the Kazakh head of state use the word “war” to describe the conflict in Ukraine, nor did he assign blame for its outbreak. Likewise, despite expressing sympathy for the young people losing their lives in the conflict, Tokayev ruled out acting as a mediator himself, stating that the Russians “are fully capable of resolving the issues on the agenda without intermediaries.” Tokayev made his statement while sitting next to Putin.
This is, however, in line with earlier statements. Tokayev has previously declined to take on such a role, saying that Kazakhstan would only be willing to serve as a venue for negotiations. Instead, the Kazakh president appears to be attempting to distance his country and its economy from the war.
Rather than accepting Tokayev’s proposal, Russia seems to be using it to reinforce its own narrative. On July 28, Peskov stated that Kyiv “continues its terrorist activity,” citing, among other examples, attacks on the CPC oil terminal.
While Tokayev’s statement is unlikely to bring about any real change in the current course of the war, it does demonstrate that Kazakhstan is willing to articulate positions distinct from those of Russia. Whether future Ukrainian strikes further strain Kazakh-Russian relations now remains to be seen.
| # | Наименование новости | Тональность | Информативность | Дата публикации |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tokayev Urges Russia to ‘Freeze’ Ukraine Conflict While Embracing ‘Allied Relationship’ | 0 | 9.3 | 29-07-2026 |
| 2 | Токаев: Казахстан готов предоставить площадку для переговоров России и Украины | 0 | 0 | 24-09-2025 |
| 3 | Kazakh president rejects calls to mediate Russia-Ukraine conflict | 0 | 8.73 | 25-07-2026 |
| 4 | Kazakh president suggests returning to Istanbul formula on Ukraine | 0 | 12.07 | 25-07-2026 |
| 5 | Токаев: Казахстан не видит себя в роли посредника между Россией и Украиной | 0 | 0 | 24-09-2025 |
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| 7 | Казахстан надеется на благоприятный итог переговоров по Украине | 0 | 0 | 04-04-2025 |
| 8 | После переговоров с Трампом и Макроном: Токаев передал Путину «сигналы» Запада и предложил заморозить конфликт | 0 | 8.44 | 25-07-2026 |
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